
Bitcoin reverses overnight losses - Bitcoin reversed earlier losses, spiking to nearly $71,000 after retreating to the $69,000 range.
Bankers rage against stablecoins - The Clarity Act, intended to create a US regulatory framework for crypto, remains stalled due to core disagreements between banks and crypto proponents ahead of the November midterms.
CoinDesk 20 performance update - The CoinDesk 20 Index closed at 1980.55, marking a 0.6% (or -12.31 point) decrease since 4 p.m. ET on Tuesday.

CLARITY Act: What It Means for Crypto Market Structure

The CLARITY Act is Congress’s most significant attempt to define a market structure for digital assets in the United States. In this webinar, Messari breaks down the bill’s evolution across House and Senate drafts, the proposed frameworks for asset classification and regulatory oversight, and the key provisions shaping the debate. We also examine the political vote math, contested issues such as stablecoin rewards and DeFi compliance, and the most likely legislative outcomes. Join us for a clear, practical analysis of how the CLARITY Act could reshape crypto markets and institutional participation.
Register here to attend.

Messari's protocol reports give you a deep dive on the foundation and state of top crypto protocols, including key metrics and notable events. See the complete list of protocol reports here and get a preview of our latest report below.

By: Jonny Kreiser · @jonnytoshi · Research Analyst
Warden has reframed itself around an agentic wallet and a Do-It-For-Me economy, where users delegate intent, and the wallet carries execution end-to-end with no manual action from the user.
Warden splits the agentic wallet into separate roles within one interface: Agent Hub handles discovery, Warden Studio handles agent creation, Agent Passports handle identity and permissions, and Statistical Proof of Execution (SPEX) records execution.
Warden launched Trading Terminal and Betflix in Q4 2025, averaging $270.9K and $1.4 million in daily trading volume, respectively, showing Warden is already driving repeat, high-frequency execution inside the agentic wallet.
The Moltbook & OpenClaw security incidents showcase how Warden solves common issues as agent distribution scales. Warden’s approach is to bind agents to identities with scoped permissions, and then leave an execution record for users and integrators to inspect.
The WARD token launched on Feb. 4, 2025, with initial exchange listings on Kraken, Kucoin, MexC, Binance Alpha, and Bitget.

By: Matthew Nay & Alexander Beaudry · @NaytheForceBwU · @ahbeaudry · Research Analysts
Helium Network offloaded 4,388 TB of data from major US mobile carriers in Q4 2025, up 60.7% from just 2,731 TB in Q3. By the end of Q4, the total amount of data offloaded since inception was over 9,840 TB.
Average daily users of the network grew 32.4% QoQ to 1.6 million. The network set a new record in Q4, surpassing 2 million daily active users for the first time, and reaching a maximum of 2.5 million on December 20.
Helium’s annualized revenue reached $11.0 million, when removing all discretionary subscriber revenue burn. Average daily total data credit (DC) burns grew 83.6% QoQ to $56,760.
Over 595,800 total accounts have signed up for Helium Mobile as of December 31, a 29.1% QoQ increase.
Helium partnered with Mambo WiFi in Brazil. Mambo WiFi supports major carriers and tens of millions of customers through 40K+ access points across the country, which will serve as the foundation for Helium's expansion into South America.

By: Austin Weiler · @0xWeiler · Research Analyst
In Q4, Huma processed $2.2 billion in transaction volume, a 26.9% QoQ increase from $1.7 billion in Q3, while credit originations rose 24.4% QoQ from $860.6 million to $1.1 billion.
As of Dec. 31, users staked 268.2 million HUMA ($6.6 million), up 0.6% QoQ from 266.6 million on Sept. 30. This represents 14.9% of the 1.8 billion HUMA eligible for staking.
On Jan. 8, Huma introduced Huma Prime, a yield product where users deposit USDC to earn yield from Huma PayFi activity, which Huma then borrows against on Jupiter Lend and redeploys the borrowed USDC into Huma pools to amplify total returns.
As of Dec. 31, Huma 2.0 held $123.8 million in deposits, an 18.3% QoQ decrease from $151.6 million on Sept. 30.
As of Dec. 31, HUMA's circulating market cap was $63.8 million, a 9.5% QoQ decrease from $70.4 million on Sept. 30, while HUMA token price decreased 27.8% QoQ from $0.034 to $0.025.

Smarter Than the Crowd: The Future of Prediction Markets
By: Alice Hou · @Fbitach · Research Analyst
Recently, a demo from a product called MiroFish stopped me cold.
MiroFish is a swarm intelligence engine: feed it real-world information, a breaking news event, a policy draft, financial signals, and it spawns thousands of autonomous agents, each with a distinct personality and behavioral logic, and lets them interact freely inside a simulated world. The output isn't a summary or a recommendation. It's an emergent social reality, shaped by the collision of synthetic minds, that evolves toward a future state.

In one demo, the project creator fed MiroFish the first 80 chapters of Dream of the Red Chamber, a War and Peace-comparable novel with hundreds of characters, sprawling family dynasties, and centuries of scholarly debate, and let the swarm play out the rest. The swarm had to synthesize the behavioral logic of an entire fictional society and evolve it forward into territory where even the source material has no answer. The output wasn't retrieved from any historical data. It was generated from the ground up, through social interaction between agents.
This is what makes swarms categorically different from prior generations of AI. Earlier agents were fundamentally backward-looking, drawing conclusions from existing data. Swarms generate genuinely new information through emergent interaction. They don't retrieve the future. They enact it.
That logic maps directly onto one of crypto's fastest-growing primitives.
The $20 Billion Bet on Human Intuition
Kalshi and Polymarket are each reportedly targeting $20 billion valuations, double where they stood just a year ago. The original thesis behind prediction markets was elegant: aggregate the dispersed knowledge of many humans into a single price, and you get something more accurate than any individual expert. The crowd, properly incentivized, knows best. But that thesis has always had a ceiling: you can only surface what participants already know or anticipate. The crowd can aggregate existing beliefs. It cannot simulate the interactions that produce new ones.
That is exactly what agent swarms do. When thousands of agents with distinct behavioral profiles interact inside an environment seeded with real-world data, they generate second and third-order consequences that human intuition routinely misses. The interactions themselves produce genuinely new information. More importantly, they expose a flaw in the "wisdom of crowds" framing that rarely gets acknowledged: human crowds are far more correlated than we admit. Shared media, similar professional frameworks, and common emotional responses to volatility all produce clustering that appears to be independent opinion but isn't. A well-designed agent swarm, with genuinely differentiated profiles and priors, can introduce more real diversity than the human crowd it supplements, pricing the long tail of questions that go underpriced today simply because not enough informed humans are paying attention.
Swarm intelligence doesn’t replace prediction markets. It makes them smarter: simulating the crowd before it forms, and becoming the oracle that human intuition alone never quite was.
